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Will the predictions be true?

The time for the balance sheet is approaching and everything seems to indicate that the security sector will close the year with very good numbers, both for the network monitoring segment and for analog systems, which will change the trend of 2009, the year in which the overall result of the industry was affected in a significant way due to the economic contraction; things could have been worse, but government economic stimulus prevented the damage from being greater.
The above are some of the predictions made by a press release issued a couple of months ago by IMS Research, one of the market research firms that enjoys good recognition in the security industry.

The study provides interesting data to understand some of the market trends that will be seen at the end of the year and among other things it is worth mentioning that in general the video monitoring market will grow at the end of this year by 9% above what was achieved in 2009. But going back to last year, the numbers indicate that the analog market may have contracted by 5%, while that of IP video grew by 18%. Similarly, recovery in the former will be slower than in the latter.

Interpretations for this data, as well as future projections, are quite variable and depend on many factors. That's why I asked Carlos Leschhorn, from LG, and Rafael Madrigal, from NVT, so that each one would give me their impressions.

Leschhorn told me that he does believe in the growth of IP systems, because they are cheaper from the point of view of infrastructure and, in addition, the amount of information that this type of systems throws has increased its demand. Madrigal also coincides with the fall of 100% analog systems and commented that today it is very difficult to see a system recording on a DVR without any access to local network or Internet. However, he believes that the growth of IP should be looked at according to the market, because in residential it is very strong, but in commercial applications, that is, between 32 and 500 cameras, hybrid systems are the most widespread.

With these two opinions in our pockets, we can then glimpse a fairly busy business environment for next year, where analog systems will continue to disappear to consolidate the passage of hybrid applications and IP, depending on the type of market.

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